Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000788 0.000844 0.000903 0.000970 0.001043 0.001122 0.001214
2026-01-04 0.000684 0.000758 0.000838 0.000934 0.001046 0.001172 0.001328
2026-01-11 0.000626 0.000709 0.000804 0.000921 0.001063 0.001231 0.001447
2026-01-18 0.000586 0.000677 0.000782 0.000917 0.001085 0.001291 0.001568
2026-01-25 0.000630 0.000745 0.000884 0.001067 0.001306 0.001614 0.002052
2026-02-01 0.000582 0.000697 0.000838 0.001028 0.001281 0.001617 0.002111
2026-02-08 0.000546 0.000660 0.000804 0.001000 0.001268 0.001632 0.002184
2026-02-15 0.000520 0.000636 0.000783 0.000987 0.001274 0.001672 0.002295
2026-02-22 0.000492 0.000607 0.000754 0.000963 0.001260 0.001683 0.002362
2026-03-01 0.000462 0.000574 0.000720 0.000928 0.001229 0.001665 0.002381
2026-03-08 0.000444 0.000556 0.000703 0.000917 0.001230 0.001694 0.002476
2026-03-15 0.000425 0.000536 0.000683 0.000900 0.001222 0.001707 0.002547
2026-03-22 0.000393 0.000499 0.000641 0.000852 0.001171 0.001659 0.002523
2026-03-29 0.000370 0.000473 0.000612 0.000822 0.001144 0.001649 0.002565
2026-04-05 0.000354 0.000457 0.000597 0.000811 0.001147 0.001684 0.002692
2026-04-12 0.000342 0.000445 0.000587 0.000807 0.001159 0.001736 0.002856
2026-04-19 0.000369 0.000488 0.000659 0.000933 0.001391 0.002189 0.003877
2026-04-26 0.000349 0.000465 0.000631 0.000901 0.001356 0.002164 0.003915
2026-05-03 0.000333 0.000446 0.000610 0.000877 0.001335 0.002163 0.004003
2026-05-10 0.000322 0.000434 0.000597 0.000867 0.001337 0.002203 0.004190
2026-05-17 0.000309 0.000418 0.000578 0.000846 0.001319 0.002203 0.004285
2026-05-24 0.000295 0.000400 0.000555 0.000817 0.001283 0.002165 0.004283
2026-05-31 0.000286 0.000389 0.000544 0.000807 0.001281 0.002197 0.004457